[sīc] ventures
a research-driven approach for de-risked investments into emerging markets.
What we do
We invest in emerging markets with the belief that these latent markets are largely untapped — the only thing missing is the capital flow.

The reason these markets have such low capital flows is because of the layers of risk. Our approach minimizes your risk while maximizing your venture returns and positive impact.We do this by a frank re-aligning of incentives.
Approach
Our fund backs startups in promising emerging markets using a unique model where the principal is protected in dividend-yielding ETFs and the yield is then invested into EM startups. This overcomes the large barrier toemerging market investing: volatility and risk. 

The fund uses an evidence-based approach to timing market entry to maximize potential returns.
Process
We use an interdisciplinary approach to assessing markets, startups, and futures, borrowing frameworks, tools, and methodologies from anthropology and economics.
Thesis
sic erat

So it is. This is where we begin, with the ground truths and facts of reality—how things are. Many of these realities are hard truths, of generational poverty, of genocide, of oppression, of violent violations of human rights. But, like the literary notation “[sīc]” allows, we acknowledge, but are not distracted by, the symptomatic flaw to then get at the core, in this case the root causes of debilitating societal issues.

We believe that missing from current peacebuilding and development frameworks is a focused attention on the underlying economic, social, and cultural (ESC) dimensions at the sub-regional and local levels. We believe that startups and increased capital flows can build out that robust foundation.

This begins with seeing how it is; but only with considered interventions can we later look back and see progress from how it was, sīc erat.

We invite you to join us in this endeavor.

Why EMs?
Why we're creating emerging markets-focused fund now

There’s a confluence of 2 things that I find particularly worrying:

  • growing reach of big tech companies (majority Western)
  • the increasing depth of technologies embedded into an individual’s life

This confluence seems to only amplify existing power imbalances that have entrenched much of the emerging market. And as much as aid has its place, I see capital mechanisms as more empowering, giving more than just a voice, but a say.

Since my time living on the Thai-Burma border region, I’ve been looking for viable ways to blend VC with development economics, but haven’t been able to satisfactorily crack that code. Recently, I’ve had a few (potential) breakthroughs.

Simply put, it’s a VC fund that allocates the principal into a dividend ETF then uses the dividend yield to invest in emerging market startups. This may be more attractive to LPs with mitigated risk while maintaining upside — but crucially, increases the much needed capital flows to emerging markets.

Evidence-based
How does [sīc] Ventures evaluate an emerging market?

Our decisions around which country to enter are based on macroeconomic and development economics research. We look for a specific balance of financial frictions with certain macroeconomic indicators.

This has led us to the following criteria when assessing an emerging market and its compatibility with this Fund:

  1. Shallow, but deepening banking system
  2. Financial system opening up
  3. Rising middle class
  4. Significant portion of population are youth
  5. STEM & business programs and grads from university
  6. A moderate diaspora community

--
‍[1] Long-run Returns to Private Equity in Emerging Markets by Shawn Cole, Martin Melecky, Florian Mölders & Tristan Reed

Market timing
Are there particular markets [sīc] Ventures is currently focused on?

From these criteria, our working list of countries of particular interest to us are (in no particular order):

  • Algeria
  • Nigeria
  • Morocco
  • Vietnam
  • Egypt
  • Uzbekistan
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Japan
  • Poland
  • UAE
  • Kuwait
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Estonia
Differentiatiors
What are the differentiators of the [sīc] Ventures approach?
  • Principal protection: Principal is allocated to ETFs, reducing risk typically associated with emerging markets — while also able to realize the upside of venture investments
  • Evidence-based focus and sourcing: Scope of emerging markets is reduced to select economies that exhibit characteristics that, according to data and research, sit on the precipice of growth — and outsized returns for early investors|
  • Anthropological approach to sourcing and due diligence: Given the low number of active investors, sourcing deals may not be a problem. But, assessing them may require more time given the different culture and environment. We take an anthropological approach with ethnographic techniques to understand markets and their social dynamics. This may mean 6 weeks or 6 months living in that specific markets, observing and experiencing the lives of potential consumers, all the way out to the rural regions.
  • Flexible exit with a more sustainable outlook: The Fund has an option of cash distributions to investors. Rather than LPs getting money out only when the startup has a liquidity Event, LPs can get paid out as distributions from cashflow over time.